Four years after its military coup and consequent civil war, Myanmar’s spotlight in global headlines continues to dim as geostrategic reorientations and realignments among the major powers take center stage. Dramatic and drastic foreign policy changes are afoot in the United States under the second administration of President Donald Trump, while the European Union faces an existential threat from Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, and Japan is mired in political sclerosis at home. Myanmar’s fate and future will thus likely be determined by the course and outcome of its civil war, China’s expanding influence in the country and Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) member states’ maneuvers to a lesser extent.
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