Contemplating the Fall of Myanmar’s Junta

The fall of the Assad regime in Syria in late 2024 has excited the imaginations of the Myanmar resistance and its supporters. Could the criminal regime of Min Aung Hlaing suffer a similar rapid collapse? What would that collapse look like?

First of all, it is important first to define “fall.” Does it apply to the apparatus of the State Administration Council or the military as a whole? If the military remains in place, the fall of one junta would probably just result in another junta. Observers have speculated for some time that any replacement regime, possibly under the psychopathic Deputy Prime Minister Soe Win, could be even more ruthless.